Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 156.938082 184.079856 216.602803 259.078953 314.062518 3.842561e+02 4.830911e+02
2025-02-16 119.928856 152.236195 195.735049 260.901198 360.566794 5.160640e+02 7.985538e+02
2025-02-23 100.115123 133.809085 182.876685 263.981611 405.095717 6.661979e+02 1.273438e+03
2025-03-02 87.859509 122.116775 175.138689 270.085233 454.779901 8.559713e+02 2.072043e+03
2025-03-09 78.423080 112.366904 167.498343 272.938327 498.854233 1.069088e+03 3.368175e+03
2025-03-16 69.545004 101.827234 156.117219 265.158368 516.998608 1.237231e+03 5.054112e+03
2025-03-23 65.144465 97.791849 154.971200 276.762434 585.739817 1.631065e+03 1.022950e+04
2025-03-30 58.646785 89.273007 144.157498 265.102939 589.744035 1.813531e+03 1.601989e+04
2025-04-06 54.848031 84.937561 140.422440 268.083165 637.065623 2.255179e+03 3.672909e+04
2025-04-13 51.144232 80.310527 135.361766 266.662429 671.168514 2.712139e+03 9.791188e+04
2025-04-20 49.504196 79.221820 137.143068 282.459605 773.955659 3.878282e+03 1.812864e+06
2025-04-27 49.062967 80.286607 143.517411 312.320777 956.598236 6.637027e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 45.585830 75.465507 137.202262 307.615275 1003.890771 8.618089e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 43.023538 72.230286 134.075879 312.040883 1106.221673 1.303575e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 40.737913 69.286272 131.137492 316.311343 1218.453144 2.089642e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 38.896105 67.033355 129.443777 324.214893 1369.025285 3.907759e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 37.029668 64.524422 126.728402 327.900892 1504.549472 7.747639e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 34.725018 60.870746 120.663164 317.879678 1529.788037 1.202783e+05 NaN
2025-06-15 33.722365 59.904182 121.242507 332.839197 1794.935890 6.287670e+05 NaN
2025-06-22 31.598578 56.315713 114.570282 317.808554 1765.787294 1.142189e+06 NaN
2025-06-29 30.388506 54.636628 112.713726 321.644169 1943.266450 5.662370e+07 NaN
2025-07-06 29.072613 52.613565 109.680977 319.815111 2064.688351 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 28.598441 52.433593 111.628505 340.207540 2534.894040 NaN NaN